Drivers:
Realistically, drivers only care about winning titles. Having a 4th, an 8th or a 14th on your CV doesn't matter much, compared to one place higher or lower. Therefore I will only analyse the title hunt:
Alonso will win if:
- He finishes 1st or 2nd
- Webber finishes 2nd and Alonso finishes 4th (assuming Vettel wins) or 5th (otherwise)
Webber will win if:
- He finishes 1st AND Alonso does not finish 2nd
- He finishes 2nd AND Vettel does not win AND Alonso finishes 6th or lower
Vettel will win if:
- He finishes 1st AND Alonso finishes 5th or lower
- He finishes 2nd AND Alonso finishes 9th or lower AND Webber finishes 5th or lower
Hamilton will win if:
- He wins AND Alonso does not score AND Webber finishes 6th or lower AND Vettel finishes 3rd or lower
Constructors:
- Ferrari need to gain 32 points on McLaren (assuming a win) or a 2-3 finish with McLaren scoring no points at all to finish 2nd
- Force India must outscore Williams by 2 points or by 1 if they achieve a 4th place finish to secure 6th, UNLESS
- Sauber must outscore Force India by 24 points and Williams by 25 to join the battle for 6th
- Toro Rosso must outscore Sauber by 33 points to finish 8th
- Lotus, Virgin or Hispania must outscore Toro Rosso by 11 points to finish 9th
- In the fight for 10th place Lotus will win UNLESS either Virgin or Hispania secure a top 11 finish
- There is no prize money for 11th, so it doesn't matter much that Virgin require a 13th place finish or better to overtake Hispania
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